Solana Co-Founder Yakovenko Warns Bitcoin Faces Quantum Risk by 2030

Key Highlights: 

• Solana co-founder warns of a 50% chance that quantum computers can break Bitcoin’s security by 2030.
• The co-founder urges tech companies to adopt quantum-resistant cryptography as AI and quantum tech advances.
• Switching Bitcoin to quantum-safe algorithms needs a complex update that everyone must agree on. 

Solana co-founder Antoly Yakovenko has warned the Bitcoin community that there is a 50% chance that quantum computing has the capacity to break its cryptographic security by 2030. These thoughts were expressed while the co-founder was speaking at the All-In Summit 2025. The co-founder also stressed the urgent need to move Bitcoin to quantum-resistant signatures to avoid a serious risk.

His warning has come from the fast progress in areas such as artificial intelligence, optics, and quantum hardware. He explained that the speed at which quantum research is turning into a real-world tool is “astounding” and urged the community to act faster and start preparing now.

How Quantum Could Break Bitcoin

Bitcoin’s security today uses the Elliptic Curve Digital Signature Algorithm (ECDSA), which depends on a math problem that is too hard for normal computers. But quantum computers that run on Shor’s algorithm could solve this problem. They could figure out private keys from public keys, and put millions of Bitcoin wallets at risk and threatening both past and future transactions.

The Challenge of Making Bitcoin Quantum Safe

This threat highlights how urgent the need is to switch Bitcoin’s cryptography to quantum-resistant methods. But the change is not an easy one. Adding quantum-safe signature needs a hard fork, where everyone should agree on the update. Getting developers, miners, exchanges and wallet providers on the same page is the biggest task. Apart from that, moving existing wallets to new signatures is also tricky, especially keeping them compatible and protecting private keys during the switch.

Even David Carvalho, Naoris Protocol’s founder, says quantum computers could “plausibly rip apart” Bitcoin’s security in under five years if current trend continues. This danger is not just theoretical but it is based on real and rapid advances in the technology.

Call for Quantum-Resistant Tech Adoption

Yakovenka pointed to major industry advances like Google’s Willow project, a quantum research chip boosted by AI, showing how new technologies are bringing quantum computing closer to reality. He urged tech giants like Google and Apple to adopt quantum-resistant cryptography quickly, noting that the consumer side of it is effectively solved, meaning a great adoption is already technically possible.

While Bitcoin supporters like Blockstream CEO Adam Back and Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin estimate 10-20 years before quantum risks become serious, Yakovenko is clear: waiting is not an option. His urgency reflects a wide agreement among blockchain developers to prepare networks now against the disruptive potential of quantum computing.

Solana’s Quantum-Ready Approach

To address quantum risks, the co-founder and the CEO of Solana said that the blockchain has introduced features. These features include the Winternitz Vault, which uses hash-based signatures that create new cryptographic keys for every transaction, which reduces exposure to quantum attacks.

This highlights the need for innovative cryptographic defenses. The debate just depicts a conflict in crypto between taking things slowly and acting quickly to stay safe. Switching to quantum-proof systems needs technical work, agreement from the community, and many users to adopt it, making it big challenge for the industry in the coming years.

Quantum Threats and Future of Crypto

As quantum computing is growing, Bitcoin and other blockchain will have to quickly adapt to new ways so it can survive in this industry. Yakovenko’s warning urges the crypto community to act now to protect these networks.

Bitcoin may be safe from today’s computers, but quantum tech is the new wild card. Shifting to quantum resistant cryptography fast is important to keep Bitcoin and blockchain a trustworthy sector. Yakovenko’s call at the All-In Summit 2025 puts a spotlight on one of crypto’s biggest challenges for the coming years.

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